Queensland have the opportunity to win back the State Of Origin shield when they clash with New South Wales in Game 2 of the series at the Melbourne Cricket Ground on Wednesday night. The Maroons won the first match in Sydney by the narrowest of margins, Cooper Cronk’s late field goal proving decisive after Mal Meninga’s side had fought back from a half time deficit to level the scores through a Will Chambers try fifteen minutes into the second period. The Blues were left to lament their inability to execute in attack through the back end of the game and now face an uphill battle to hold on to the trophy, with history suggesting that the victor of the opening game is well placed to go on and win the series (it’s happened no less than 25 times since the annual interstate clashes began back in 1980).
Queensland are clear favourites to secure another State Of Origin Series win with a victory over New South Wales at Suncorp Stadium.
Queensland have been backed into $1.52 to maintain their stellar record at Suncorp Stadium, while New South Wales are at the lengthy odds of $2.60 to keep the series alive.
The line is currently set at 5.5 points, while Queensland are 1-12 to win by $2.75.
We successfully predicted that Queensland would score a narrow victory over New South Wales in the opening game of the 2016 State Of Origin Series and we are confident that we will find the right betting plays again.
History really is against New South Wales in this clash.
Queensland have won seven of the past eight games at Suncorp Stadium and New South Wales have not won the second game of a series at Suncorp Stadium since 2000.
The Maroons have always found another level in front of their home fans throughout the history of State Of Origin and that leaves New South Wales staring down the barrel of a very difficult assignment.
The scary thing for New South Wales is that Queensland were nowhere near their best in Game 1.
New South Wales were able to keep the likes of Johnathan Thurston, Cooper Cronk and Greg Inglis fairly quiet and they were still unable to win – achieving this in two straight games is much easier said than done.
The Blues have only made the one forced change to their team – with Tyson Frizzel replacing the injured Boyd Cordner – and Laurie Daley elected not to bring James Tedesco into the side or replace the useless Dylan Walker on the bench.
This is definitely Queensland’s game to win and they are safe bet to do just that on Wednesday night.
Queensland 1-12 ($2.60) is a clear favourite from New South Wales 1-12 ($3.50), Queensland 13+ ($3.60) and New South Wales (13+) in State Of Origin Game 2 Margin betting markets.
14 of the last 17 State Of Origin games have been decided by less than 12 points, but there is some evidence to suggest that Queensland can put a big score on New South Wales in this clash.
The Maroons have won three of the past four games played at Suncorp Stadium by more than 12 points and we have seen so many times over the last decade just how dangerous Queensland can be when Thurston and Cronk are given the opportunity to attack their rivals.
Those that are keen to back New South Wales to win the game may as well take the $3.50 that is on offer for them to win between 1-12 as New South Wales have not won a State Of Origin fixture by more than 13 points since 2007.
Johnathan Thurston is set to have a very big game for Queensland in State Of Origin Game 2, but the market is clearly aware of that and he is at the very short price of $5 to be named man of the match – there is no value there.
It would not surprise to see Darius Boyd cross for a couple of tries in this fixture and he was arguably unlucky not to be named man of the match in game 1.
He should go close again and at $10 he is a good bet.
James Maloney has been one of the best players in the NRL in recent months and he is going to need to stand-up if New South Wales are any chance of winning this series.
State Of Origin Game 2 Teams
New South Wales
Matt Moylan (Penrith Panthers)
Blake Ferguson (Sydney Roosters)
Michael Jennings (Parramatta Eels)
Josh Morris (Canterbury Bulldogs)
Josh Mansour (Penrith Panthers)
James Maloney (Cronulla Sharks)
Adam Reynolds (South Sydney Rabbitohs)
Aaron Woods (Wests Tigers)
Robbie Farah (Wests Tigers)
James Tamou (North Queensland Cowboys)
Wade Graham (Cronulla Sharks)
Josh Jackson (Canterbury Bulldogs)
Paul Gallen (Cronulla Sharks)
Dylan Walker (Manly Sea Eagles)
Greg Bird (Gold Coast Titans)
David Klemmer (Canterbury Bulldogs)
Andrew Fifita (Cronulla Sharks)
Darius Boyd (Brisbane Broncos)
Corey Oates (Brisbane Broncos)
Greg Inglis (South Sydney Rabbitohs)
Justin O’Neill (North Queensland Cowboys)
Dane Gagai (Newcastle Knights)
Johnathan Thurston (North Queensland Cowboys)
Cooper Cronk (Melbourne Storm)
Matt Scott (North Queensland Cowboys)
Cameron Smith (Melbourne Storm)
Josh McGuire (Brisbane Broncos)
Matt Gillett (Brisbane Broncos)
Sam Thaiday (Brisbane Broncos)
Corey Parker (Brisbane Broncos)
Michael Morgan (North Queensland Cowboys)
Jacob Lillyman (New Zealand Warriors)
Aidan Guerra (Sydney Roosters)
Josh Papalii (Canberra Raiders)